Miss State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
635  Stephen Jones SO 33:05
1,208  Aaron Phelps SR 33:56
1,211  JT Mackay JR 33:56
1,745  Eryk Yunk SO 34:41
1,833  John Dalton Rohr JR 34:50
1,865  Ben Craw FR 34:53
1,868  Luke Zacharias FR 34:54
1,992  Quintin Reiser JR 35:06
2,024  Zach Weaver JR 35:09
2,162  Lake Spradling FR 35:27
2,408  Chandler Underwood SO 36:07
National Rank #191 of 315
South Region Rank #21 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 20th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 66.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Stephen Jones Aaron Phelps JT Mackay Eryk Yunk John Dalton Rohr Ben Craw Luke Zacharias Quintin Reiser Zach Weaver Lake Spradling Chandler Underwood
Falcon Classic 09/16 1186 33:34 33:22 34:27 35:00 34:13 34:51 34:20 35:35 35:35 35:07 36:04
Paul Short Gold 09/29 1155 32:44 34:05 33:48 34:35 35:42 35:05 34:40 35:24
Crimson Classic 10/13 1177 33:09 33:36 33:39 35:05 35:17 34:38 34:56 35:19 34:46 35:50 36:29
South Region Championships 11/10 1167 32:50 34:21 33:41 34:12 35:00 36:04 35:21





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 19.6 557 0.1 0.1 0.8 5.3 11.0 15.9 14.4 18.5 14.8 9.9 5.3 2.6 1.5 0.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stephen Jones 51.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Aaron Phelps 105.1
JT Mackay 105.8
Eryk Yunk 145.0
John Dalton Rohr 151.1
Ben Craw 153.5
Luke Zacharias 153.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.8% 0.8 15
16 5.3% 5.3 16
17 11.0% 11.0 17
18 15.9% 15.9 18
19 14.4% 14.4 19
20 18.5% 18.5 20
21 14.8% 14.8 21
22 9.9% 9.9 22
23 5.3% 5.3 23
24 2.6% 2.6 24
25 1.5% 1.5 25
26 0.2% 0.2 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0